Future Legal Developments: Key Proposed Laws and Regulatory Changes in 2025-2026

By late 2025, the legal landscape in the United States has shifted more dramatically than in any recent decade. It’s not just about new laws-it’s about how those laws change the way businesses operate, how workers are protected, and how everyday people interact with government systems. If you’re running a company, managing payroll, or even just filing your taxes, these changes aren’t abstract. They’re already affecting your life.

What’s Actually Changing in 2025-2026?

The most visible wave of legal updates is happening at the state level, especially in California. The state passed over 120 new labor and housing laws in 2025 alone. One of the biggest is Assembly Bill 406, which took effect October 1, 2025. It doesn’t just tweak a rule-it merges three separate leave laws into one. Now, employees who are victims of domestic violence, sexual assault, or stalking can take paid time off under the Fair Employment and Housing Act (FEHA). Employers must update their handbooks, post new notices, and train managers. The Civil Rights Department released a model notice in October 2025, and companies that haven’t adopted it are already seeing compliance warnings.

California’s paid sick leave law also changed. Under Labor Code section 246.5, employees now accrue leave at the same rate whether they work full-time or part-time. No more prorating based on hours. And if you’re a small business owner with 15 or fewer employees, you’re still required to offer 40 hours per year. No exceptions.

Then there’s Senate Bill 642. It tightens pay transparency. Employers must now include pay ranges in all job postings-not just internal ones. And if a candidate asks for the pay scale after an interview, you have to give it to them in writing within 10 days. Violations can cost up to $10,000 per violation. This isn’t a suggestion. It’s enforceable.

Federal Tax Changes: The One, Big, Beautiful Bill

On July 4, 2025, President Biden signed Public Law 119-21, nicknamed the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill.” It’s the largest tax overhaul since 2017. The most direct impact? A $6,000 deduction for taxpayers aged 65 and older, effective for tax years 2025 through 2028. That’s not a credit. It’s a deduction off your taxable income. If you’re filing jointly and both spouses are over 65, that’s $12,000 off your income before you even start itemizing.

But the real shock came with the Form 1099-K threshold. After years of pressure from gig workers and small sellers, the IRS reverted the reporting limit back to $20,000 in gross payments and 200 transactions. The previous $600 threshold-set in 2022-caused chaos. People got 1099s for selling old furniture on Facebook Marketplace or babysitting neighbors. Now, only businesses hitting that higher bar get flagged. The IRS released FS-2025-08 on October 23, 2025, to clarify this. If you’re a freelancer or side-hustler, this change alone saves hours of tax prep.

And don’t forget the Employee Retention Credit (ERC). The law closed loopholes that allowed businesses to claim credits they weren’t eligible for. If you filed an ERC claim between 2021 and 2024, the IRS is now auditing those claims. Over 300,000 claims have been flagged. If you received money under this program, you should have legal counsel review your filing.

Firearms and Law Enforcement: LEOSA Reform Act

The LEOSA Reform Act of 2025 (H.R.2243) passed the House in May and is pending in the Senate. If enacted, it will let qualified active and retired law enforcement officers carry concealed firearms in places they were previously banned from: school zones, national parks, and even inside federal buildings like post offices. States can still set their own rules, but they can’t block federal officers. Retired officers also get to reduce their annual qualification training from once a year to once every three years.

This isn’t about expanding gun rights broadly-it’s about recognizing that trained officers, even after retirement, retain the skills and judgment to carry safely. But it’s also creating legal gray areas. For example, if a retired officer carries in a private business that bans firearms, does the business owner have the right to ask them to leave? The law doesn’t say. Courts will decide that.

Gig workers celebrating as IRS confirms 1099-K threshold returns to ,000, with sales receipts and smiling agent.

Housing Boom: California’s CEQA Exemptions

California’s housing crisis got a major policy shift with Assembly Bill 130 and Senate Bill 131. These bills, passed as part of the state budget, strip away many of the environmental review requirements under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) for housing projects that meet affordability and density targets. No more lawsuits delaying projects for years. No more 18-month review cycles.

The California Building Industry Association estimates that qualifying projects will now be approved in 6 to 12 months instead of 24 to 36. That’s a 60% reduction. Developers are already rushing to file plans under the new rules. Cities like Los Angeles and San Diego have created fast-track permit desks. But critics warn this could lead to lower-quality construction and less community input. The state’s Department of Finance says the reforms could add 150,000 new housing units annually by 2027.

Supreme Court and the Roberts Court’s Next Chapter

The Supreme Court’s 2025-2026 term marks 20 years since Chief Justice John Roberts took the bench. And it’s shaping up to be the most consequential in decades. Legal analysts from American Progress and Bloomberg Law predict the Court will expand presidential power in areas like emergency declarations and federal agency authority. Expect rulings that limit the power of agencies like the EPA and the SEC to write their own rules without explicit congressional approval.

One pending case could redefine the legal status of AI-generated content. If the Court rules that AI tools can’t hold copyright, it will shake up the entire creative industry-from software developers to photographers using AI assistants. Another case could limit the right to legal counsel for detainees in federal custody. That’s tied to a proposed bill in Congress to restore free phone calls for inmates. If the Court sides with the government, it could set a precedent affecting thousands of cases.

AI compliance dashboard scanning laws while business owner receives approval stamp, neon circuits and retro-futuristic tech in background.

Compliance Is No Longer a Department-It’s a Culture

Companies are no longer hiring one compliance officer to handle paperwork. They’re building teams. RegEd’s 2025 survey found that 68% of mid-sized businesses increased their compliance staff by 15-20% in 2025. Why? Because laws are changing faster than HR departments can update their manuals.

California employers are spending $1,200 to $1,800 per employee on training for AB 406 alone. Tax professionals are seeing a 40% spike in enrollment for 2025 tax update courses. Legal tech firms like ComplianceAI and RegTrack are growing 35% year over year. Gartner predicts 78% of Fortune 500 companies will use AI-powered regulatory monitoring tools by 2026. That’s not hype-it’s survival.

Here’s the hard truth: if you’re waiting for a government email or newsletter to tell you about a new law, you’re already behind. The best-run organizations now have automated systems that scan 200+ state and federal databases daily. They flag changes, assign tasks to legal, HR, and finance teams, and generate internal memos-all without human input.

What You Need to Do Now

If you’re a business owner, start here:

  1. Check if you’re affected by AB 406 in California. If you have employees, you need updated leave policies by December 1, 2025.
  2. Review your Form 1099-K reporting. If you use platforms like PayPal or Etsy, confirm your payment volume. If you’re under $20,000, you’re safe for now.
  3. Look up your state’s labor law updates. 37 states changed employment laws in 2025. Don’t assume federal rules apply.
  4. Train your managers. Many compliance failures happen because front-line supervisors don’t know the rules.
  5. Start budgeting for legal tech. Even small businesses can use affordable tools like LexisNexis Regulatory Compliance or Avalara for tax changes.

If you’re an individual taxpayer, especially over 65, talk to your accountant about the $6,000 deduction. Don’t assume your software will auto-apply it. Many tax programs haven’t been updated yet.

And if you’re in housing, construction, or real estate-California’s new rules are a goldmine. But they’re also a minefield. Get legal advice before you break ground. The exemptions are powerful, but the penalties for misusing them are severe.

What’s Coming in 2026

Don’t think this is over. The IRS will release tax inflation adjustments for 2026 in early 2026, including new brackets under the One, Big, Beautiful Bill. Congress has over 400 bills pending on labor, healthcare, and digital privacy. States like New York, Illinois, and Washington are preparing their own versions of California’s housing and pay transparency laws.

The trend is clear: federal deregulation in some areas (like Medicare Advantage and financial reporting) is being met with aggressive state-level regulation elsewhere. That means you can’t rely on one set of rules anymore. You need a multi-jurisdictional strategy.

Organizations that treat compliance as a yearly chore are going to get hit hard. The ones that build systems-automated, cross-functional, and constantly updated-will thrive.

Do these new laws apply to small businesses with fewer than 10 employees?

Yes, many do. California’s AB 406 and pay transparency rules apply to all employers, regardless of size. The $6,000 tax deduction applies to individuals, not businesses. But if you’re an LLC or S-corp with employees, you still need to follow wage and leave laws. Don’t assume small size means exemption.

What happens if I ignore a new law?

Penalties vary. For pay transparency violations in California, it’s $10,000 per posting. For misclassifying workers under new wage theft rules, it can be triple back wages plus fines. The IRS audits ERC claims aggressively. Ignoring a law doesn’t make it go away-it makes the cost higher.

Are these changes only in California?

No. While California leads in volume, 37 states passed new employment laws in 2025. New York is updating its paid family leave. Washington is tightening AI hiring tools. Texas is changing its independent contractor rules. Even if you’re not in California, you likely have to comply with something new.

Can I use AI to track legal changes?

Yes, and more companies are doing it. Tools like RegTrack, Compliance.ai, and LexisNexis can scan federal and state databases for new laws, send alerts, and even suggest policy updates. They cost $200-$1,000/month, but for a business with 20+ employees, they pay for themselves by avoiding fines.

Will the Supreme Court rulings affect my business?

Potentially. If the Court limits federal agency power, it could reduce regulations on your industry-but it could also remove protections you rely on. For example, if the EPA’s rules are weakened, your environmental compliance costs might drop. But if the Court rules against worker protections in gig work, your labor costs could rise. Stay informed through your industry association.

Legal change isn’t slowing down. The next 18 months will define compliance for the next decade. The question isn’t whether you’ll adapt-it’s how fast you’ll act.

12 Comments

Tim Goodfellow
Tim Goodfellow

December 19, 2025 at 06:12 AM

California just turned into a regulatory theme park and nobody’s even riding the rollercoaster yet. AB 406? Sure. Pay transparency? Fine. But the real wild card is the 1099-K rollback-finally, the IRS got it. I sold my old guitar for $800 last month and didn’t get a single form. That’s freedom.

Also, if you’re a small biz owner and you’re still using Excel to track compliance, you’re one audit away from bankruptcy. Time to automate or get left behind.

Allison Pannabekcer
Allison Pannabekcer

December 20, 2025 at 11:59 AM

I’ve been a payroll admin for 18 years and this is the first time I’ve felt like the system is actually trying to protect people instead of just punishing employers. AB 406? That’s not bureaucracy-that’s basic humanity. Domestic violence survivors deserve paid time off without jumping through 12 hoops.

And the tax deduction for seniors? Long overdue. My mom didn’t even know she qualified until I told her. She’s going to save $6,000 and not have to stress about filing. That’s what policy should look like.

Sarah McQuillan
Sarah McQuillan

December 22, 2025 at 10:11 AM

Let’s be real-this whole post is just California flexing its blue-state ego. You think other states are gonna follow? Nah. Texas just passed a law letting employers ignore state labor rules if they’re headquartered out of state. And the feds? They’re letting states fight it out while they cut funding for enforcement.

Meanwhile, you’re telling me I need to train my 8-person team on 120 new laws? I’m just gonna hire a lawyer and pray.

anthony funes gomez
anthony funes gomez

December 24, 2025 at 09:23 AM

The structural tension here is between centralized compliance burden and decentralized legal authority-federalism as a friction engine. The LEOSA Reform Act, while ostensibly about officer safety, is a de facto federal preemption of municipal gun control, creating a new class of extraterritorial actors with immunity from private property rights.

Meanwhile, the CEQA exemptions represent a neoliberal technocratic solution to housing scarcity-efficiency over democratic deliberation. The algorithmic compliance tools referenced? They’re not tools-they’re epistemic gatekeepers. Who owns the data? Who trains the model? Who’s liable when it misses a statute?

Alana Koerts
Alana Koerts

December 24, 2025 at 10:55 AM

Everyone’s acting like these changes are groundbreaking. AB 406? California’s been doing this since 2018. The 1099-K rollback? Took them long enough. And the $6k deduction? That’s just a tax cut disguised as senior relief. The real story is how little this affects anyone outside CA and federal contractors.

Also, AI compliance tools? Please. Half of them flag false positives because they don’t understand context. I’ve seen them mistake a personal sale for a business transaction. You’re paying $1k/month to get yelled at by a bot.

pascal pantel
pascal pantel

December 25, 2025 at 17:15 PM

Let’s cut the crap. The ‘One, Big, Beautiful Bill’ is a political stunt. The $6,000 deduction? Only helps people who already file taxes. Millions of low-income seniors don’t. And the ERC audits? That’s not enforcement-it’s revenge. The IRS is punishing small businesses that survived the pandemic by taking their emergency cash.

And don’t get me started on the pay transparency law. You think a small shop owner in Fresno can afford to list pay ranges for every job? That’s not transparency-it’s regulatory terrorism.

Gloria Parraz
Gloria Parraz

December 26, 2025 at 23:44 PM

I work in HR at a 12-person nonprofit and I’ve spent the last three months rewriting every policy manual. It’s exhausting. But here’s what no one’s saying: the real win is that people are finally talking about this stuff. My staff asked questions. Our board had a real conversation about equity. That’s more valuable than any compliance form.

And yes, the tools are expensive-but we got a grant to cover half. If you’re struggling, reach out. Someone’s always got a template.

Dorine Anthony
Dorine Anthony

December 27, 2025 at 05:03 AM

Just wanted to say I read this whole thing and didn’t feel overwhelmed. That’s rare. Thanks for laying it out clearly. I’m a freelancer and the 1099-K change alone made my year. No more panic every December wondering if I’ll get a surprise tax bill for selling my old printer.

Also, the part about AI tools? I’m trying one next month. Fingers crossed.

Chris porto
Chris porto

December 27, 2025 at 05:17 AM

It’s funny how we act like laws are new when they’re just old ideas with new names. Paid leave for survivors? That’s been standard in Europe for decades. Pay transparency? Germany’s had it since 2017. The U.S. is just catching up.

But maybe that’s okay. Better late than never. The real question is whether we’ll keep moving forward or go back to ignoring the problems until they explode again.

William Liu
William Liu

December 29, 2025 at 04:53 AM

Man, I’m just glad the IRS finally listened. I’ve been doing freelance graphic design for 6 years and every time I hit $600 I’d panic. Now I can actually enjoy the side hustle without feeling like I’m breaking the law. Thank you to whoever pushed for that change.

Frank Drewery
Frank Drewery

December 29, 2025 at 09:52 AM

My dad’s 72 and just found out he’s getting that $6,000 deduction. He didn’t even know it existed. He’s been filing the same way since 2010. This is the kind of change that doesn’t make headlines but changes lives. Sometimes the quiet stuff matters most.

mary lizardo
mary lizardo

December 30, 2025 at 02:01 AM

The author’s tone is alarmist, the data is selectively curated, and the conclusion is a non sequitur. Compliance is not a culture-it is a legal obligation. The suggestion that small businesses must adopt AI-driven regulatory monitoring tools is economically illiterate. The $1,200-per-employee cost for AB 406 training is inflated by vendor marketing. The CEQA exemptions are not a ‘goldmine’-they are an erosion of environmental due process. This is not a policy analysis. It is a corporate lobbying pamphlet disguised as journalism.

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